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The Commission staff organized its work around specialized studies, or monographs,
prepared by each of the teams. We used some of the evolving draft material for these
studies in preparing the seventeen staff statements delivered in conjunction with the
Commission’s 2004 public hearings. We used more of this material in preparing draft
sections of the Commission’s final report.
volume by more than 20 times—highly suspicious numbers on their face.170 The SEC
quickly discovered, however, that a single U.S. investment adviser had purchased 95
percent of the UAL put option volume for the day. The investment adviser certainly did
not fit the profile of an al Qaeda operative: it was based in the United States, registered
with the SEC, and managed several hedge funds with $5.3 billion under management. In
interviews by the SEC, both the CEO of the adviser and the trader who executed the trade
explained that they—and not any client—made the decision to buy the put as part of a
trading strategy based on a bearish view of the airline industry. They held bearish views
for a number of reasons, including recently released on-time departure figures, which
suggested the airlines were carrying fewer passengers, and recently disclosed news by
AMR reflecting poor business fundamentals. In pursuit of this strategy, the adviser sold
short a number of airline shares between September 6 and September 10; its transactions
included the fortunate purchase of UAL puts. The adviser, however, also bought 115,000
shares of AMR on September 10, believing that their price already reflected the recently
released financial information and would not fall any further. Those shares dropped
significantly when the markets reopened after the attacks. Looking at the totality of the
adviser’s circumstances, as opposed to just the purchase of the puts, convinced the SEC
that it had absolutely nothing to do with the attacks or al Qaeda. Still, the SEC referred
169 See, e.g., September 18, 2001 Associated Press Report.
170 A high ratio of puts to calls means that on that day far more money was being bet that the stock price
would fall than that the stock price would rise. Such a ratio is a potential indicator of insider trading—
although it can also prove to have entirely innocuous explanations, as in this case.
Terrorist Financing Staff Monograph
149
the trade to the FBI, which also conducted its own investigation and reached the same
conclusion.
The AMR put trading on September 10 further reveals how trading that looks highly
suspicious at first blush can prove innocuous. The put volume of AMR on September 10
was unusually high and actually exceeded the call volume by a ratio of 6:1—again,
highly suspicious on its face. The SEC traced much of the surge in volume to a California
investment advice newsletter, distributed by email and fax on Sunday, September 9,
which advised its subscribers to purchase a particular type of AMR put options. The SEC
interviewed 28 individuals who purchased these types of AMR puts on September 10,
and found that 26 of them cited the newsletter as the reason for their transaction. Another
27 purchasers were listed as subscribers of the newsletter. The SEC interviewed the
author of the newsletter, a U.S. citizen, who explained his investment strategy analysis,
which had nothing to do with foreknowledge of 9/11. Other put option volume on
September 10 was traced to similarly innocuous trades.
Another good example concerns a suspicious UAL put trade on September 7, 2001. A
single trader bought more than one-third of the total puts purchased that day, establishing
a position that proved very profitable after 9/11. Moreover, it turns out that the same
trader had a short position in UAL calls—another strategy that would pay off if the price
of UAL dropped. Investigation, however, identified the purchaser as a well-established
New York hedge fund with $2 billion under management. Setting aside the unlikelihood
of al Qaeda having a relationship with a major New York hedge fund, these trades looked
facially suspicious. But further examination showed the fund also owned 29,000 shares of
UAL stock at the time—all part of a complex, computer-driven trading strategy. As a
result of these transactions, the fund actually lost $85,000 in value when the market
reopened. Had the hedge fund wanted to profit from the attacks, it would not have
retained the UAL shares.
These examples were typical. The SEC and the FBI investigated all of the put option
purchases in UAL and AMR, drawing on multiple and redundant sources of information
to ensure complete coverage. All profitable option trading was investigated and resolved.
There was no evidence of illicit trading and no unexplained or mysterious trading.
Moreover, there was no evidence that profits from any profitable options trading went
uncollected.171
The options trading in UAL and AMR was typical of the entire investigation. In all
sectors and companies whose trades looked suspicious because of their timing and
171 The press has reported this claim, and the allegation even found its way into the congressional testimony
concerning terrorist financing of a former government official. The government investigation would have
detected such traders because the investigators focused on people who purchased profitable positions—
regardless of when or whether or when they closed out the position. Moreover, officials at the SEC and the
Options Clearing Corporation, a private entity that processes options trading, pointed out that any profitable
options positions are automatically exercised upon the expiration date unless the customer explicitly
directed otherwise. Any direction not to exercise profitable options is a highly unusual event, which the
OCC double-checks by contacting the broker who gave them such instruction. The OCC personnel had no
recollection of any such contacts after 9/11.
National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States
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profitability, including short selling of UAL, AMR, and other airline stocks, close
scrutiny revealed absolutely no evidence of foreknowledge. The pattern is repeated over
and over. For example, the FBI investigated a trader who bought a substantial position in
put options in AIG Insurance Co. shortly before 9/11. Viewed in isolation, the trade
looked highly suspicious, especially when AIG stock plummeted after 9/11. The FBI
found that the trade had been made by a fund manager to hedge a long position of 4.2
million shares in the AIG common stock. The fund manager owned a significant amount
of AIG stock, but the fund had a very low tax basis in the stock (that is, it had been
bought long ago and had appreciated significantly over time). Selling even some of it
would have created a massive tax liability. Thus, the fund manager chose to hedge his
position through a put option purchase. After 9/11, the fund profited substantially from its
investment in puts. At the same time, however, it suffered a substantial loss on the
common stock, and overall lost money as a result of the attacks.
In sum, the investigation found absolutely no evidence that any trading occurred with
foreknowledge of 9/11. The transparency of the U.S. securities markets almost ensures
that any such trading would be detectable by investigators. Even if the use of some
combination of offshore accounts, shell companies, and false identification obscured the
identity of the traders themselves, the unexplained trade would stand out like a giant red
flag. The absence of any such flags corroborates the conclusion that there is no evidence
any such trading occurred. Indeed, the leaders of both the SEC and FBI investigations
into pre-9/11 trading expressed great confidence in this conclusion.
International Investigation
There is also no evidence that any illicit trading occurred overseas. Through its Office of
International Affairs, the SEC sought the assistance of numerous foreign countries with
active securities markets. The FBI also engaged with foreign law enforcement officials
about overseas trading. There are two issues to consider with respect to the international
investigation: overseas trading in U.S. securities and trading of foreign securities in
overseas markets.
Trading of U.S. securities overseas
The SEC sought the assistance of countries where there was significant trading of U.S.
securities. Each of these countries had previously entered into information sharing
agreements with the SEC to cooperate in securities investigations, and each willingly
cooperated in the 9/11 investigation. According to the SEC, there is generally little
trading of U.S. securities overseas, since U.S. securities trade primarily in U.S. markets.
Thus, unusual trading in U.S. securities would not have been very hard for foreign
regulators to detect. Each country the SEC contacted conducted an investigation and
reported back to the SEC that there was no trading in U.S. securities in their jurisdiction
that appeared to have been influenced by foreknowledge of the 9/11 attacks.
Terrorist Financing Staff Monograph
151
The foreign investigators also helped investigate suspicious trading in the U.S. from
offshore accounts. For example, the SEC investigation revealed that shortly before 9/11
an offshore account had taken a short position in a fund that tracked one of the major
U.S. market indices—an investment that profited when the U.S. market declined. After
9/11, the offshore investor closed out the position, reaping $5 million in profit. The
SEC’s Office of International Affairs solicited help from a European country to
investigate further. Although this trade was highly suspicious on its face, the European
country’s investigation revealed that this investor was an extremely wealthy European
national who often speculated by taking short positions in the U.S. market. In fact, the
same investor had employed this strategy to lose $8 million in the six months preceding
9/11.
Trading of foreign securities
There is also no evidence that insider trading took place in the stock of any foreign
company. The SEC asked its foreign counterparts to investigate trading in securities that
trade primarily on foreign markets subject to foreign regulation. Indeed, a number of
companies that suffered serious economic losses from the 9/11 attacks were foreign
companies, which traded mainly on foreign markets. In particular, the insurance
companies with the largest potential losses included Munich Reinsurance Co., Swiss
Reinsurance Co., and Allianz AG, all foreign-based companies that primarily traded
overseas.172 In addition to the SEC, the FBI team investigating the financial aspects of the
9/11 plot frequently dealt with foreign law enforcement officials after 9/11 and raised the
trading issue.173 Neither the SEC nor the FBI was informed of any evidence of any illicit
trading in advance of 9/11 in any foreign securities.
Shortly after 9/11, Ernst Welteke, president of the German Central Bank, made a number
of public statements that insider trading occurred in airline and insurance company stock,
and also in gold and oil futures. These preliminary claims were never confirmed. In fact,
German officials publicly backtracked fairly soon after Mr. Welteke’s statement was
issued. On September 27, a spokesman for the German securities regulator, BAWe
(Bundesaufsichtsamt für den Wertpapierhandel), declared that while the investigation
was continuing, “there is no evidence that anyone who had knowledge of the attacks
before they were committed used it to make financial transactions.”174 On December 3,
2001, a spokesman for the BAWe said its investigation had revealed no evidence of illicit
172 According to the SEC’s Chief, Market Surveillance, the countries with the most significant relevant
trading of foreign corporations stock were the UK and Germany. The UK quickly and publicly reported it
had found no illicit trading. See e.g., J. Moore, The Times, Bin Ladin did not Deal (October 17, 2001)
(Chairman of Financial Services Authority reported that investigation failed to reveal evidence of irregular
share dealings in London in advance of 9/11). Other countries publicly reported similar findings. See e.g.,
Associated Press Worldstream, Suspicion dispelled of insider trading in KLM shares before September 11
attacks (reporting conclusion of Dutch government investigation that sharp drop in share prices of the
national airline days before 9/11 were not caused by people who knew of terrorist attacks).
173 The chief of the FBI team also raised the issue with CIA and asked it to be alert for any intelligence on
illicit trading; he received no such reports from the CIA.
174 Agence France Presse (Sept. 27, 2001).
National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States
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trading in advance of 9/11 and that the case remained open pending new information. The
spokesman said separate investigations by state authorities had also yielded no
information and had been closed. 175
Commission staff interviewed German law enforcement officials who said that
exhaustive investigation in Germany revealed no evidence of illicit trading. Moreover,
both SEC and FBI officials involved in the trading investigation told the Commission
staff that German investigators had privately communicated to them that there was no
evidence of illicit trading in Germany before 9/11. The FBI legal attaché in Berlin
forwarded a lead to the German BKA (Bundeskriminalamt), which reported back that the
trading allegations lacked merit. It appears, then, that Welteke’s initial comments were
simply ill-considered and unsupported by the evidence.176
Other investigation corroborates the conclusion of no illicit
trading
Since 9/11, the U.S. government has developed extensive evidence about al Qaeda and
the 9/11 attacks. The collected information includes voluminous documents and
computers seized in raids in Afghanistan and throughout the world. Moreover, the United
States and its allies have captured and interrogated hundreds of al Qaeda operatives and
supporters, including the mastermind of the 9/11 plot and the three key plot facilitators.
No information has been uncovered indicating that al Qaeda profited by trading securities
in advance of 9/11. To the contrary, the evidence—including extensive materials
reviewed by Commission staff—all leads to the conclusion that knowledge of the plot
was closely held by the top al Qaeda leadership and the key planners. It strains credulity
to believe that al Qaeda would have jeopardized its most important and secretive
operation or any of its key personnel by trying to profit from securities speculation.
175 See Australian Financial Review (Dec 3, 2001).
176 The SEC investigated trading of American Depository Receipts (ADRs) in foreign companies. ADRs
are receipts issued by a U.S. bank for the shares of a foreign corporation held by the bank. ADRs publicly
trade on U.S. markets. This investigation revealed no illicit trading.