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When it comes to investing, analyzing financial statement information (also known as quantitative analysis), is one of, if not the most important element in the fundamental analysis process. At the same time, the massive amount of numbers in a company's financial statements can be bewildering and intimidating to many investors. However, through financial ratio analysis, you will be able to work with these numbers in an organized fashion.
Cash Flow Indicator Ratios: Dividend Payout Ratio
This ratio identifies the percentage
of earnings (net income) per common share allocated to paying cash dividends to shareholders. The dividend
payout ratio is an indicator
of how well earnings support the dividend payment.
Here's how dividends "start" and "end." During a
fiscal year quarter, a company's board of directors declares a dividend.
This event triggers the posting of a current liability for "dividends
payable." At the end of the quarter, net income is credited to
a company's retained earnings, and assuming there's sufficient cash
on hand and/or from current operating cash flow, the dividend is paid
out. This reduces cash, and the dividends payable liability is eliminated.
The payment of a cash dividend is recorded in the statement of cash
flows under the "financing activities" section.
Formula:
Components:
Note: Zimmer Holdings does not pay a dividend. An assumed dividend
amount, as of December 31, 2005, is provided to illustrate the ratio's
calculation:
0.80 ÷ 2.96 = 27% |
The numerator (annual report or Form
10-K) represents the annual
dividend per share paid in cash and the denominator (income statement)
represents the net income per share for FY 2005.
Variations:
At the bottom of the income
statement, after the stated
amount for net income (net earnings), the per share amounts for "basic"
net income per common share and "diluted" net income per common share are provided.
The basic per share amount does not take into consideration the possible
effects of stock options, which would increase the number of shares
outstanding. The diluted
per share amount does take
into account precisely this possible dilution. Conservative analysis
would use the diluted net income per share figure in the denominator.
In another version of the dividend payout ratio, total amounts are used
rather than per share amounts. Nevertheless, an investor should arrive
at the same ratio percentage.
Note: In the U.K. there is a similar dividend payout ratio, which
is known as "dividend cover". It's calculated using earnings per share divided by dividends per share.
Commentary:
Our first observation states the obvious - you only use this ratio
with dividend-paying companies. Investors in dividend-paying stocks
like to see consistent and/or gradually increasing dividend payout ratios.
It should also be noted that exaggerated (i.e. very high) dividend ratios
should be looked at skeptically.
The question to ask is: Can the level of dividends be sustained? Many
investors are initially attracted to high dividend-paying stocks, only
to be disappointed down the road by a substantial dividend reduction
(see remarks below). If this circumstance happens, the stock's price
most likely will take a hit.
Secondly, dividend payout ratios vary widely among companies. Stable,
large, mature companies (i.e. public utilities and "blue chips") tend to have larger dividend payouts.
Growth-oriented companies tend to keep their cash for expansion purposes,
have modest payout ratios or choose not to pay dividends.
Lastly, investors need to remember that dividends actually get paid
with cash - not earnings. From the definition of this ratio, some investors
may assume that dividend payouts imply that earnings represent cash,
however, with accrual
accounting, they do not.
A company will not be able to pay a cash dividend, even with an adequate
unrestricted balance in retained earnings, unless it has adequate cash.
In view of this accounting treatment of dividends, it is incumbent upon
investors to check a company's dividend payout ratio against an adequate
margin of free cash flow to ensure that the payout percentage (ratio)
is sustainable.
This ratio identifies the percentage
of earnings (net income) per common share allocated to paying cash dividends to shareholders. The dividend
payout ratio is an indicator
of how well earnings support the dividend payment.
Here's how dividends "start" and "end." During a
fiscal year quarter, a company's board of directors declares a dividend.
This event triggers the posting of a current liability for "dividends
payable." At the end of the quarter, net income is credited to
a company's retained earnings, and assuming there's sufficient cash
on hand and/or from current operating cash flow, the dividend is paid
out. This reduces cash, and the dividends payable liability is eliminated.
The payment of a cash dividend is recorded in the statement of cash
flows under the "financing activities" section.
Formula:
Components:
Note: Zimmer Holdings does not pay a dividend. An assumed dividend
amount, as of December 31, 2005, is provided to illustrate the ratio's
calculation:
0.80 ÷ 2.96 = 27% |
The numerator (annual report or Form
10-K) represents the annual
dividend per share paid in cash and the denominator (income statement)
represents the net income per share for FY 2005.
Variations:
At the bottom of the income
statement, after the stated
amount for net income (net earnings), the per share amounts for "basic"
net income per common share and "diluted" net income per common share are provided.
The basic per share amount does not take into consideration the possible
effects of stock options, which would increase the number of shares
outstanding. The diluted
per share amount does take
into account precisely this possible dilution. Conservative analysis
would use the diluted net income per share figure in the denominator.
In another version of the dividend payout ratio, total amounts are used
rather than per share amounts. Nevertheless, an investor should arrive
at the same ratio percentage.
Note: In the U.K. there is a similar dividend payout ratio, which
is known as "dividend cover". It's calculated using earnings per share divided by dividends per share.
Commentary:
Our first observation states the obvious - you only use this ratio
with dividend-paying companies. Investors in dividend-paying stocks
like to see consistent and/or gradually increasing dividend payout ratios.
It should also be noted that exaggerated (i.e. very high) dividend ratios
should be looked at skeptically.
The question to ask is: Can the level of dividends be sustained? Many
investors are initially attracted to high dividend-paying stocks, only
to be disappointed down the road by a substantial dividend reduction
(see remarks below). If this circumstance happens, the stock's price
most likely will take a hit.
Secondly, dividend payout ratios vary widely among companies. Stable,
large, mature companies (i.e. public utilities and "blue chips") tend to have larger dividend payouts.
Growth-oriented companies tend to keep their cash for expansion purposes,
have modest payout ratios or choose not to pay dividends.
Lastly, investors need to remember that dividends actually get paid
with cash - not earnings. From the definition of this ratio, some investors
may assume that dividend payouts imply that earnings represent cash,
however, with accrual
accounting, they do not.
A company will not be able to pay a cash dividend, even with an adequate
unrestricted balance in retained earnings, unless it has adequate cash.
In view of this accounting treatment of dividends, it is incumbent upon
investors to check a company's dividend payout ratio against an adequate
margin of free cash flow to ensure that the payout percentage (ratio)
is sustainable.
Investment Valuation Ratios: Introduction
This last section of
the ratio analysis tutorial looks at a wide array of ratios that can
be used by investors to estimate the attractiveness of a potential or
existing investment and get an idea of its valuation.
However, when looking at the financial statements of a company many
users can suffer from information overload as there are so many different
financial values. This includes revenue, gross margin, operating cash flow, EBITDA, pro
forma earnings and the list
goes on. Investment valuation ratios attempt to simplify this evaluation
process by comparing relevant data that help users gain an estimate
of valuation.
For example, the most well-known investment valuation ratio is the P/E
ratio, which compares the current price of company's shares to the amount
of earnings it generates. The purpose of this ratio is to give users
a quick idea of how much they are paying for each $1 of earnings. And
with one simplified ratio, you can easily compare the P/E ratio of one
company to its competition and to the market.
The first part of this tutorial gives a great overview of "per
share" data and the major considerations that one should be aware
of when using these ratios. The rest of this section covers the various
valuation tools that can help you determine if that stock you are interested
in is looking under or overvalued.
Investment Valuation Ratios: Per Share Data
Before discussing valuation
ratios, it's worthwhile to briefly review some concepts that are integral
to the interpretation and calculation of the most commonly used per share indicators.
Per-share data can involve any number of items in a company's financial
position. In corporate financial reporting - such as the annual report, Forms 10-K and 10-Q (annual and quarterly reports, respectively,
to the SEC) - most per-share data can be found in these statements,
including earnings and dividends.
Additional per-share items (which are often reported by investment research
services) also include sales (revenue), earnings growth and cash flow.
To calculate sales, earnings and cash flow per share, a weighted average
of the number of shares outstanding is used. For book value per share, the fiscal yearend number of shares is used.
Investors can rely on companies and investment research services to
report earnings
per share on this basis.
In the case of earnings per share, a distinction is made between basic and diluted inco
The concept behind this treatment is that if converted to common shares,
all these convertible securities would increase a company's shares outstanding.
While it is unlikely for any or all of these items to be exchanged for
common stock in their entirety at the same time, conservative accounting
conventions dictate that this potential dilution (an increase in a company's
shares outstanding) be reported. Therefore, earnings per share come
in two varieties - basic and diluted (also referred to as fully diluted).
An investor should carefully consider the diluted share amount if it
differs significantly from the basic share amount. A company's share
price could suffer if a large number of the option holders of its convertible
securities decide to switch to stock.
For example, let's say that XYZ Corp. currently has one million shares
outstanding, one million in convertible options outstanding (assumes
each option gives the right to buy one share), and the company's earnings
per share are $3. If all the options were exercised (converted), there
would be two million shares outstanding. In this extreme example, XYZ's
earnings per share would drop from $3 to $1.50 and its share place would
plummet.
While it is not very common, when companies sell off and/or shut down
a component of their operations, their earnings per share (both basic
and diluted) will be reported with an additional qualification, which
is presented as being based on continuing and discontinued operations.
The absolute dollar amounts for earnings, sales, cash flow and book
value are worthwhile for investors to review on a year-to-year basis.
However, in order for this data to be used in calculating investment
valuations, these dollar amounts must be converted to a per-share basis
and compared to a stock's current price. It is this comparison that
gives rise to the common use of the expression "multiple" when
referring to the relationship of a company's stock price (per share)
to its per-share metrics of earnings, sales, cash flow and book value.
These so-called valuation ratiosprovide investors with an estimation,
albeit a simplistic one, of whether a stock price is too high, reasonable,
or a bargain as an investment opportunity.
Lastly, it is very important to once again to remind investors that
while some financial ratios have general rules (or a broad application),
in most instances it is a prudent practice to look at a company's historical
performance and use peer company/industry comparisons to put any given
company's ratio in perspective. This is particularly true of investment
valuation ratios. This paragraph, therefore, should be considered as
an integral part of the discussion of each of the following ratios.
Investment Valuation Ratios: Price/Book
Value Ratio
A valuation ratio used by investors which
compares a stock's per-share price (market value) to its book value
(shareholders'
equity). The price-to-book value ratio, expressed as a multiple (i.e. how many times
a company's stock is trading per share compared to the company's book
value per share), is an indication of how much shareholders are paying
for the net assets of a company.
The book value of a company is the value of a company's assets expressed
on the balance sheet. It is the difference between the balance sheet assets and balance sheet liabilities and is an estimation of the value if it were
to beliquidated.
The price/book value ratio, often expressed simply as "price-to-book",
provides investors a way to compare the market value, or what they are
paying for each share, to a conservative measure of the value of the
firm.
Formula:
Components:
The dollar amount in the numerator, $67.44, is the closing stock
price for Zimmer Holdings as of December 30, 2005, as reported in the
financial press or over the Internet in online quotes. In the denominator,
the book value per share is calculated by dividing the reported shareholders'
equity (balance sheet) by the number of common shares outstanding (balance
sheet) to obtain the $18.90 book value per-share figure. By simply dividing,
the equation gives us the price/book value ratio indicating that, as
of Zimmer Holdings' 2005 fiscal yearend, its stock was trading at 3.6-times
the company's book value of $18.90 per share.
Variations:
A conservative alternative to using a company's reported shareholders'
equity (book value) figure would be to deduct a company's intangible assets from its reported shareholders' equity to arrive
at a tangible shareholders' equity (tangible book value) amount. For
example, Zimmer Holdings' FY 2005 balance sheet reports goodwill (in millions $) of $2,428.8 and net intangible
assets of $756.6, which total $3,185.4. If we deduct these intangible
assets from its shareholders' equity of $4,682.8 of the same date, Zimmer
Holdings is left with a significantly reduced tangible shareholders'
equity of $1,497.4. Factoring this amount into our equation, the company
has a book value per share of only $6.04, and the price/book value ratio
then skyrockets to 11.2 times.
Commentary:
If a company's stock price (market value) is lower than its book
value, it can indicate one of two possibilities. The first scenario
is that the stock is being unfairly or incorrectly undervalued by investors
because of some transitory circumstance and represents an attractive
buying opportunity at a bargain price. That's the way value investors think. It is assumed that the company's positive fundamentals are still in place and will eventually lift it
to a much higher price level.
On the other hand, if the market's low opinion and valuation of the
company are correct (the way growth
investorsthink), at least
over the foreseeable future, as a stock investment, it will be perceived
at its worst as a losing proposition and at its best as being a stagnant
investment.
Some analysts feel that because a company's assets are recorded at historical
cost that its book value is of limited use. Outside the United States,
some countries' accounting standards allow for the revaluation of the property, plant and equipment components of fixed assets in accordance with
prescribed adjustments for inflation. Depending on the age of these assets and their
physical location, the difference between current market value and book
value can be substantial, and most likely favor the former with a much
higher value than the latter.
Also, intellectual
property, particularly as
we progress at a fast pace into the so-called "information age",
is difficult to assess in terms of value. Book value may well grossly
undervalue these kinds of assets, both tangible and intangible.
The P/B ratio therefore has its shortcomings but is still widely used
as a valuation metric. It is probably more relevant for use by investors
looking at capital-intensive or finance-related businesses, such as
banks.
In terms of general usage, it appears that the price-to-earnings (P/E)
Investment Valuation Ratios: Price/Cash Flow Ratio
he price/cash flow ratio is used by investors
to evaluate the investment attractiveness, from a value standpoint,
of a company's stock. This metric compares the stock's market price
to the amount of cash flow the company generates on a per-share basis.
This ratio is similar to the price/earnings
ratio, except that the price/cash
flow ratio (P/CF) is seen by some as a more reliable basis than earnings
per share to evaluate the acceptability, or lack thereof, of a stock's
current pricing. The argument for using cash flow over earnings is that
the former is not easily manipulated, while the same cannot be said
for earnings, which, unlike cash flow, are affected by depreciation and
other non-cash factors.
Formula:
Components:
The dollar amount in
the numerator is the closing stock price for Zimmer Holdings as of December
30, 2005 as reported in the financial press or over the Internet in
online quotes. In the denominator, the cash flow per share is calculated
by dividing the reported net cash provided by operating activities (cash
flow statement) by the weighted average number of common shares outstanding
(income statement) to obtain the $3.55 cash flow per share figure. By
simply dividing, the equation gives us the price/cash flow ratio that
indicates as of Zimmer Holdings' 2005 fiscal yearend, its stock (at
$67.44) was trading at 19.0-times the company's cash flow of $3.55 per
share.
Variations:
Sometimes free
cash flow is used instead
of operating
cash flow to calculate the
cash flow per share figure.
Commentary:
Just as many financial professionals prefer to focus on a company's
cash flow as opposed to its earnings as a profitability indicator, it's
only logical that analysts in this camp presume that the price/cash
flow ratio is a better investment valuation indicator than the P/E ratio.
Investors need to remind themselves that there are a number of non-cash
charges in the income statement that lower reported earnings. Recognizing
the primacy of cash flow over earnings leads some analysts to prefer
using the P/CF ratio rather than, or in addition to, the company's P/E
ratio.
Despite these considerations, there's no question that the P/E measurement
is the most widely used and recognized valuation ratio.
Investment Valuation Ratios: Price/Earnings Ratio
The price/earnings
ratio (P/E) is the best known
of the investment valuation indicators. The P/E ratio has its imperfections,
but it is nevertheless the most widely reported and used valuation by
investment professionals and the investing public. The financial reporting
of both companies and investment research services use a basic earnings per share (EPS) figure divided into the current stock price
to calculate the P/E multiple (i.e. how many times a stock is trading
(its price) per each dollar of EPS).
It's not surprising that estimated EPS figures are often very optimistic
during bull markets, while reflecting pessimism during bear markets.
Also, as a matter of historical record, it's no secret that the accuracy
of stock analyst earnings estimates should be looked at skeptically
by investors. Nevertheless, analyst estimates and opinions based on
forward-looking projections of a company's earnings do play a role in
Wall Street's stock-pricing considerations.
Historically, the average P/E ratio for the broad market has been around
15, although it can fluctuate significantly depending on economic and
market conditions. The ratio will also vary widely among different companies
and industries.
Formula: